Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness

Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness
Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness
Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness
Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness

Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness

Crude Oil Prices Reach 10-Month High Amid Supply Tightness. .image/Mint

Crude oil prices have reached a fresh 10-month high, marking the fifth consecutive session of gains. Both West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude futures have experienced price increases due to several factors:

  1. Supply Tightness: Saudi Arabian production cuts and the extension of voluntary oil output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia have led to supply tightness in the global oil market. The resulting supply concerns have driven prices higher.
  2. OPEC+ Cuts: OPEC+ (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies) agreed to production cuts in April, and these cuts are set to continue until the end of 2024, contributing to reduced oil supply.
  3. Interest Rate Hike: The European Central Bank implemented a tenth consecutive interest rate hike, which pushed the benchmark deposit rate to 4%. While this move is seen as a response to inflation concerns, it also impacts oil prices as higher interest rates can influence economic activity and oil demand.
  4. Chinese Demand: China, as the world’s largest oil importer, plays a significant role in global oil demand. The country’s economic indicators, such as industrial output and retail sales, have shown growth, boosting optimism about oil demand.
  5. Global Demand: Strong global demand for oil products has driven refinery processing rates up by nearly 20% compared to the previous year.

Both WTI and Brent crude futures have risen about 4% for the week and are on track for their most significant quarterly increase since the first quarter of 2022.

MCX Crude Oil Futures

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), crude oil futures have also seen gains. These futures, with a September 19 expiry, have traded higher, with technical levels expected to be in the range of ₹7,130 to ₹7,980. The turnaround point is anticipated to be at ₹7,470.

The combination of global supply dynamics, demand factors, and economic indicators is contributing to the rally in crude oil prices, resulting in multi-month highs in both international and domestic markets.

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