
Stock Markets Set for Holiday Week Lull, Analysts Cite Potential Volatility from Derivatives Expiry.image/reauters
Stock Markets Set for Holiday Week Lull, Analysts Cite Potential Volatility from Derivatives Expiry
Analysts anticipate a subdued trend in the stock markets during the abbreviated holiday week, with no significant domestic catalysts expected. The monthly derivatives expiry slated for Thursday may contribute to heightened volatility in stock indices. It’s noteworthy that stock markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Christmas.
“With global cues in short supply due to the Christmas holiday, domestic market dynamics are poised to guide sector and stock-specific movements this week,” remarked Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart Ltd. Given the absence of substantial indicators, Meena highlighted the potential introduction of volatility to the markets with the December F&O expiry.
In the previous week, the BSE benchmark witnessed a decline of 376.79 points, equivalent to 0.52%, while the Nifty dipped by 107.25 points, or 0.49%. This retreat followed a notable surge in the markets, reaching their all-time high levels on December 20.
“While India’s equity market valuation remains expensive, the likelihood of a stable government at the center may keep them elevated. Furthermore, with FPI holdings at a 10-year low and the possibility of foreign buying in the debt market ahead of India’s inclusion in the JP Morgan Emerging Market Government Bond Index, there could be some stability for the INR,” noted Jitendra Gohil, Chief Investment Strategist at Kotak Alternate Asset Managers Limited.
Analysts acknowledged that the markets had been on an impressive streak of setting records, entering an overbought territory. Consequently, occasional interruptions, such as profit-taking, were expected. The week concluded with declines after seven consecutive weeks of gains. “As we embrace the holiday mood, we anticipate markets to remain range-bound with stock-specific actions this week,” said Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.
Investors will closely monitor the global oil benchmark, Brent crude, and the trajectory of the rupee against the dollar in the markets.
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