
Supercomputer gives Real Madrid 58 Percent chance to win La Liga, Barcelona has 40.2% chance of winning
Supercomputer gives Real Madrid 58 Percent chance to win La Liga, Barcelona has 40.2% chance of winning
Apuestas-deportivas‘ supercomputer BETSiE ran its algorithm to predict who will win La Liga 2024-25.
The supercomputer simulated the league seasons 100,000 times. The supercomputer takes into account all match results from last season (across all competitions), pre-season results and the current season as it progresses, projecting the season based on both pre-season expectations and xG earned both for and against during the season. It now also integrates team financial data and player values from Transfermarkt. This additional layer of data provides a more nuanced understanding of team capabilities and potential performance variations.
Based on the simulations as per the above mentioned factors, here are the highlights:
- Real Madrid are BETSiE’s favourites with a 58% chance of winning La Liga
- Real Madrid are predicted to win with an approx 2 point margin
- Barcelona has the second highest percentage of a potential La Liga victory – 40.2%
- On the other hand, Leganes has the highest chances of relegation – 76.1%.
The projected tables for La Liga are attached for your reference:
You can access the table for final positions, probabilities and projections at the start of the season in this sheet.
The projections were made using Apuestas-deportivas’ supercomputer BETSiE, which takes into account multiple data points including xG, xA and runs the simulation 100,000 times.
The data and tables are available for your use. Where used, please credit Apuestas-deportivas.es as the source.
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