
Small-Cap Investments: A Balancing Act of Promise and Peril for Investors.image/HT
Small-Cap Investments: A Balancing Act of Promise and Peril for Investors
Every investor navigating the stock markets seeks lucrative opportunities, even if they come with the potential for nerve-wracking experiences. For those eyeing the small-cap segment, experts suggest that this path may hold both promise and peril.
Investors can indeed amass considerable wealth by pressing the buy button at the opportune moment. However, they must also brace themselves for potential losses, perhaps even losing a few hairs along the way. Over an extended period, small-cap companies have the capacity to yield higher returns on investment than their larger counterparts. Anil Ghelani, Head of Passive Investments & Products, acknowledges this potential but warns that small caps also bear the risk of steeper declines from their peaks compared to large caps.
Small caps represent stocks listed on exchanges with a market capitalization of less than ₹5,000 crore. To illustrate, while the Nifty 50 Index has risen by approximately 18% this year, the NSE Smallcap 250 Index has experienced a more substantial increase of 46%.
Pankaj Shrestha, Head of Investment Services at Prabhudas Lilladher Wealth, suggests that, in the current scenario, the risk-reward balance seems more favorable for large-cap indices compared to their smaller counterparts over the next year.
Does this imply that investors should bypass small caps altogether? Not necessarily. Small caps still hold the potential for future returns.
Amar Ranu, Head of Investment Products & Insights at Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers, predicts a potential movement of 12-15% in the small-cap space over the next year, driven by anticipated earnings growth of 14-15%. Additionally, the decline in raw material costs is expected to further boost the bottom line for small-cap companies.
The critical factor lies in identifying pockets of opportunity and areas of outperformance. Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research at HDFC Securities, suggests that the small and mid-cap space is where investors can hope to achieve alpha, signifying profit. He points out, however, that the Nifty may outperform the mid and small-cap space in certain months or quarters.
Valuations of small-cap indices currently surpass those of the Nifty. This discrepancy may be attributed to the inclusion of some loss-making or small-profit companies in these indices, along with a faster overall earnings growth rate compared to the Nifty. Additionally, lower float value and reduced institutional participation/holding in the small and midcap space may contribute to the higher valuations observed in these areas.
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